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Challenges to Possible Massive Israeli Operation in Yemen

Thursday 26 December 2024
Challenges to Possible Massive Israeli Operation in Yemen

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Alwaght- With Lebanon ceasefire and relative ease of clashes in Gaza, the Israeli confrontation with Yemen has grown heated now. With the continuation of Yemeni attacks on the occupied territories in solidarity with Gaza, these days on Israeli media there are talks about new Israeli attack on Yemen aimed at striking sensitive and military infrastructure of Yemen's Ansarullah Movement to destroy its ability to attack Israel.

The Israeli Broadcasting Corporation quoted an Israeli source as saying: “We have sent a message to the Americans that the attacks on Yemen will increase, because the Houthi attacks threaten the stability of the entire region.” There have also been reports that the American-British coalition is going to participate in the attack. Israeli Defense Minister Yisrael Katz threatened to do to Yemen what they did in Lebanon and Gaza, and threatened to assassinate the Ansarallah leaders in the same way as the resistance leaders in the region.

These threats come while the Israeli army had carried out attacks on Sana'a, the capital, and the port of Hudaydah in western Yemen last week, with electricity and oil facilities being the main targets.

Although the time of the Israeli army's massive attack on Yemen has not been announced yet and it is said that it will probably be carried out when the new US president takes office, many international experts and even figures among the Israelis believe that the Yemeni front is so a big challenge for Tel Aviv's leaders that it could make the hardline warmongers in the cabinet of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu regret it.

On Tuesday, the Wall Street Journal published some of the warnings of analysts, in which Mohammed Al-Basha, a security analyst for West Asian affairs based in the United States, said, referring to the significant progress that Ansarullah has made in the past two decades: "In 2004, they were a group surrounded in the mountains... but now they are chasing the US oil tankers with their drones and missiles and attacking the center of Israel from a distance of 2,000 kilometers."

The newspaper also quoted "Yoel Gozansky", a former expert on the Israeli Internal Security Council, referring to the high resilience and spirit of selflessness of the Yemeni army forces, and admits that there is no deterrent power against the Ansarullah forces and that it is impossible to contain them.

Consequences of adventures in Yemen 

Perhaps the Israeli military, with the help of its Western allies, will be able to destroy Yemen's energy and oil infrastructure with airstrikes, but the consequences of this adventure will be heavy for the Israeli occupiers.

Over the past year, the Yemenis have shown that the threats of the leaders of Tel Aviv and Washington will not stop them from striking their enemies, and as long as the war in Gaza continues, the Yemenis will not stop their operations.

With its daily missile and drone attacks on the occupied territories, Ansarallah is sending the message that any aggression against Yemeni soil will be met with a crushing response.

Over the past year, Ansarallah has managed to reduce the navigation of Israeli ships through the Red Sea to almost zero with limited missile operations, which has caused billions of dollars in damage to the regime's economy. As a result of Red Sea blockade, the port of Eilat in the south of the occupied territories has been emptied of ships.

According to Israeli officials, continuation of this situation will have irreparable costs for the regime's economy in the long term. Due to its intelligence dominance over the Red Sea and the strategic Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen can deal heavy blows on the Israeli regime and its allies in this waterway, and if the tensions escalate, perhaps the sailing of Israeli ships in the Red Sea will become history. 

Ansarallah has fired several supersonic missiles at Israel, which the regime's defense systems have failed to intercept, and this has stirred fear and panic among the settlers.

In the most recent operation carried out on Saturday using a supersonic missile on Tel Aviv, 16 Israelis were injured as a direct hit from this attack, and 14 others were seriously injured while fleeing from the terror of this missile. Also, two million people rushed to shelters, and some were injured while fleeing.

Even in the Tuesday missile attack on Tel Aviv, which the Israeli army claimed to have intercepted, the Israelis also suffered casualties, and the Israeli emergency services announced that as a result of shrapnel from the intercepted missile, 12 people were taken to the hospital and some damage was also caused to some surrounding buildings. There are also reports that around 9 people were killed in the stampede, which the Israeli media, as always, censors.

This amount of panic and casualties was only due to the firing of one missile, and if a large number of missiles are fired, the occupied territories will turn into ghost towns and daily life will be heavily disrupted. Given the precise hitting of Yemeni missiles in the occupied territories, the settlers do not trust the Iron Dome and other defense systems. This will deal a severe blow to the Israelis in case of escalation of the conflict, and the Yemenis have shown that they can handle this task well.

Israel unable to deal fatal blow to Ansarullah 

Apart from the military power of Ansarallah, another important issue is that the Israeli army does not have the necessary capacity to deal a heavy blow to Yemen. Israeli analysts and media believe that the regime suffers from a lack of intelligence in Yemen, which has made it difficult to achieve its goal.

The Israeli regime only attacks power and oil facilities of Yemen and is unable to determine the location of the Yemeni armed forces, and faces difficulty achieving strategic military goals in Yemen.

In the eyes of Tel Aviv leaders, Ansarallah is different from Hezbollah in Lebanon and due to geographical distance and other factors, they do not have much information on Yemeni commanders and strategic centers and rely more on information provided to them by the US, which makes the success of any aggression difficult.

Netanyahu and his friends are mulling a massive attack on Yemen while there is a debate among Israeli political and security officials about the success of this operation. Because what Israel is going to do in the future is many times more powerful than what its allies have previously carried out, but the experience of more than 9 years of attacks by the Saudi-Emirati coalition on Yemen, as well as the one-year attacks by the US and Britain, has shown that Ansarallah is unstoppable.

If Ansarallah has been controllable, the US would never have given the credit to Israel and could have introduced itself as the protector of Red Sea shipping security with massive attacks on Yemen.

Experience has shown that the Yemenis are making new military achievements in parallel with enemy attacks. In addition, the construction of unmanned submarines and supersonic missiles has recently been very successful in disabling American defense systems. The American ship's mistaken shooting at the F-18 fighter jet this week was due to the intensity of the Ansarallah attack, which deceived Washington's powerful systems by firing dozens of missiles and drones. Therefore, the Israeli regime, which is technologically behind the US, will not succeed against the Yemenis.

The repeated targeting of Yemen by the American coalition, which has failed to achieve its goals, has led the Israelis to notion that a possible attack will not bring the expected gains to Tel Aviv and will only increase the costs of the regime, as in Gaza and Lebanon.

"The confrontation with the Yemenis will continue for years. We are at the beginning of a new era in which we must review Israeli policy and the army's strategy to confront a set of threats," said Eran Ortal, a reserve brigadier general of the Israeli army and a military theorist. 

The Israeli army official told the Hebrew newspaper Davar that “Sana'a has become stronger on several levels. What confirms Sanaa’s strength is that they are still fighting against Israel while others have become less active. In other words, the Yemenis are the only ones who continue to fight against Israel.” Actually, it can be said that the Israelis are facing a fortress in Yemen whose walls are impossible to penetrate.

Although Tel Aviv leaders think that if they manage to destroy Yemen’s infrastructure they can restore their shipping security to the Red Sea, the remarks of the Sana'a leaders show that such a plan will not work either.

Yemen armed forces spokesman General Yahya Saree asserted that “even if a nuclear bomb is dropped on Yemen, we will not stop supporting Palestine.” Therefore, it is difficult, if not impossible, to hope for victory against these brave and sacrificial fighters.

A massive attack on Yemen will be a repeat of a tested-and-failed scenario earlier applied to Yemen by the US and Saudi coalitions and the outcome will be nothing but further dangers and insecurity in Israel. 

Tags :

Israel Yemen Ansarullah Hypersonic Missile Netanyahu Red Sea

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