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Analysis

Saudi Tries to Consolidate an Anti-Iran Coalition

Sunday 15 March 2015
Saudi Tries to Consolidate an Anti-Iran Coalition

Alwaght- Indications assure that the Saudis are attempting to form a anti-Iran collation to counter Iran’s growing influence in the Middle East. The Saudi monarchy and its hardliner new king Salman bin Abdul Aziz are disturbed over the growing influence of Iran over Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen, for which Saudis feel besieged.

The new monarch has used summits with leaders of all five Persian Gulf Arab states, in addition to Jordan, Egypt and Turkey over the past 10 days to emphasize the need for unity and find a way to work around disagreements over the Muslim Brotherhood.

In this regard, the Saudi monarchy aims to create a block against Iran. The recent Saudi invitations for both Egyptian and Turkish Presidents to visit Riyadh came in this context. Recep Tayyip Erdogan said after meeting Salman Bin Abdul Aziz that Saudi Arabia is willing to resolve the dispute between Turkey and Egypt. Erdogan’s visit to Saudi Arabia is also a sign of the Saudi-shift toward Turkey and the formation of the aforementioned “axis”. Despite the political differences existing between the two countries, the new Saudi King wants to engage Turkey in this effort.

During King Abdullah’s rule, who died in January this year, the two countries had an unpleasant relationship due to the stiff opposition from Turkey of the dismissal of the former Islamist President Mohammad Mursi.

Despite Iranian’s authorities serious efforts to improve relations with Saudi Arabia, the relations between the two countries continue to remain cold. In fact, since the Islamic revolution in Iran, no warm relationships existed between the two countries, largely because of the influence of Saudi’s Shiite neighbor in the region.

Riyadh's biggest concern is Shiite Iran. Nuclear talks between Iran and 5+1 has embarrassed Saudi regime.

King Salman thinks that the formation of a collation between Saudi, Turkey, and Egypt will be an effective solution for Iran’s growing influence in the region and will halt what he calls Iran’s expansionist aims.

 

Consultations in Riyadh

Recently, Abdel-Fattah Al Sisi had a meeting with King Salman in Riyadh during the presence of Turkish President Erdogan in Saudi Arabia. The Egyptian leader stressed that the mere coincidence is “random”. However, before meeting King Salman, in an interview with Alarabia news network, in a response to the question whether Egypt is committed to negotiations with Turkey to improve the relations between the two countries, Al Sisi said: “As a matter of principle, no one should intervene in the internal affairs or disagree with the facts on the ground in Egypt. We respect the right of others to manage their own affairs.”

The diplomatic relations between Egypt and Turkey decreased after the toppling of Mohammad Mursi. Recep Tayyip Erdogan now has been following a gentle tone towards Egypt, unlike the pattern he pursued after the dismissal of Mursi. Erdogan told reporters on his return from Riyadh, that King Salman is seeking to improve the relationship between Turkey and Egypt.

Erdogan also said that he discussed the doubts Turkey has concerning the Egyptian government, but added:” We cannot afford to ignore the existence of Egypt.” The Turkish president then emphasized the importance of Egyptian stability:” Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, are the three main countries of the region. We all have our duties towards the peace and prosperity of the region, and I believe if all countries know what their role is, it will be easier to reach good results.”

It is the first time that Recep Tayyip Erdogan did not use harsh rhetoric tone against the Al Sisi’s government. Erdogan was an ardent supporter of Mohammad Mursi and an outspoken critic of Al Sisi-led military toppling of Mursi in 2013, and he repeatedly considered the Egyptian President as “authoritarian”.

Egypt and Turkey are likely to consider the Saudi offer to be of their own benefit. Although Egypt, probably unlike Saudi, does not consider Iran as a direct threat, however it also considers its strategic relationship with Riyadh crucial, since Saudi is one of its key financial backers. Additionally, the renewed relationship with Turkey can economically benefit Egypt, as well as Turkey will stop supporting Egyptian Brotherhood Movement.

Al Sisi makes this tendency clear:” the only thing Egypt is looking for is resuming the normal relations with Turkey, and that Turkey officially recognizes the current Egyptian government and avoid intervention in Cairo’s internal affairs.”

Turkey was becoming more and more isolated due to the differences with neighboring countries; therefore, reestablishment of relations with Egypt will boost Ankara’s foreign policy. The Turkish media considered Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s visit to Saudi as an attempt to regain the influence Turkey have lost in the region.

 It is now evident that the Turkish unfriendly policy toward Egypt had negatively influenced Turkey’s international trade. Egypt is ready to renew the agreements that allows Turkey to transit goods to the Persian Gulf states and the countries of Central Africa. According to the International Institute for maritime Transport in Turkey, If Ankara avoids signing the new agreement in the next month; $500 million Turkish exports will be in danger. 

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