Alwaght - Iraq parliamentary election will be hold in April 30, 2014 in a condition that according to newly legislated Electoral Act and despite previous elections, big coalitions will not be shaped up. Different movements such as Shiites, Kurds and Sunnis will probably participate in election in the form of smaller coalitions.
Shiites, for example, formed two coalitions headed by Moqtada al-Sadr and Nouri al-Maliki in 2010 election, but in the future election they will probably shape four or five coalitions. Although, the same story is predicted for Kurds and Sunnis, but it seems that Sunnis will shape a main coalition called "Muttahidoon" which is backed by Turkey. It is noteworthy that some smaller Sunni coalitions may be shaped up, led by figures such as Ayad Allawi, Saad al-Bazzaz and Khanjar Khamis that Saudi Arabia seeks to get closer to them.
The participation rate of Shiite in the last election, a provincial one, was low in comparison with Sunnis' participation rate. Although, it seems that Shiite participation rate will be stronger in next election since it is national, but it seems that this rate will not exceed fifty percents. Therefore, Iraqi religious and political elite should do their best to encourage people to participate in the election strongly.
Iraqi people should pass this transition period, knowing that only through participating in a fair and free election they can build Iraq in a way that deserves its name and ancient civilization. It is proved that independence, security, and honor of a nation are bound to its people solidarity, unity, and strong participation in affairs related to their fate. The colonial powers seek to make countries insecure in order to fulfill their own interests. Making countries insecure through assassinations, bombing and showing government ineffective are ways to discourage people from participating in election.
Hence, Shiite constitute the majority of Iraq population, they seek more to maintain security, stability and the political system of the country. Some neighboring countries and terrorist and excommunication groups along with al-Qaeda do not want the current status be maintained in Iraq since they see their survival in Iraq unrest. They misuse demands of some Sunni movements who are seeking to abolish constitution to achieve their goals. In addition, Kurds, although, do not seek to abolish constitution or overthrow the government, but they have some extrajudicial demands from which the enemies of Iraq misuse on eve of Iraq decisive election. Kurds have demands in some fields such as foreign economic relations, oil sale, and asking for extra budget from central government that has changed their claims from federalism into confederalism.
Therefore, the only way to democratization and stabilizing Iraq passes through a maximum participation in election; and peoples' strong participation will certainly deter enemies from intervening in Iraq's domestic affairs and making it insecure and instable. Finally, if a nation determines its fate through democracy, no one will dare to interfere in its domestic affairs.