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Analysis

End of Israeli War on Gaza: What Are Outcomes?

Wednesday 10 August 2022
End of Israeli War on Gaza: What Are Outcomes?

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Alwaght- After three days of deadly confrontation between the Israeli regime and Islamic Jihad Movement (IJM), a ceasefire came into effect with a bilateral green light. Although the war ended with a rapidly brokered truce, its impacts and results are of great importance and long life. On the one hand, it brought about achievements to the Palestinian resistance and on the other hand it brought negative effects to the Israeli adventures in Gaza. 

The show-off of Palestinian resistance and decline of Israeli force 

Since power gain of resistance groups in Gaza Strip, the Palestinian enclave has been under frequent Israeli attacks and aggression to neutralize the Palestinian fighters. But there is no news of lightening victories for the Israeli military that for decades in the Arab world was recognized as an invincible power in the region. The resistance groups are now well aware of how-tos of confrontation with Tel Aviv and inflicting heavy losses on it. It is because of these honned skills and tactics that in recent years the Israeli army did not come out of any war victorious. This issue, in turn, has created an atmosphere for resistance groups to, after every conflict, show their strength and expose the process of the decay of the Israeli army. 

But the very important point is that the defeat of the Israeli forces in war against one of the powerful wings of the Axis of Resistance in Palestine has led to the speculations about what grim fate awaits it if Tel Aviv goes to war against a united army of resistance forces in Palestine, Lebanon, and Syria that are already encircling its borders. 

Testing resistance weapons and repeat of disgrace to Iron Dome 

During the previous wars with the Israelis, the resistance groups surprised and frightened their Israeli enemy every time by unveiling new military achievements. Most of the military power of the Islamic Jihad, like Hamas's which challenged the security of the Israelis, is mainly tunnels, missiles, the use of asymmetric warfare strategies. 

The Israelis have always been erroneous in their estimates about the Palestinian resistance's missile arsenal. They admitted that within three days, the IJM fired at the Israeli cities 1,100 rockets, something demonstrating the expansion of its military infrastructure to fire such a large number of rockets and protection of the launching pads against Israeli air raids and also the increase in range of rockets that now cover a large part of the Israeli cities. 

The much-vaunted Iron Dome air defense systems, which were specifically developed with heavy costs to intercept short-range missiles, could only intercept less than one-thirds of the IJM rockets. This failure is damaging the public trust in this expensive system, with the Israeli media outlets openly talking about the inefficiency of these batteries in protection of the security of the settlers. Therefore, the three-day war not only will not mitigate the Israeli security concerns and home crises but also deepens the internal gaps and gives away the vulnerability of the Israeli defense layers. 

Israel, a timid ally to Arab sheikhdoms 

Moving towards military security, and political coalition between Israel and a number of Arab states especially in the Persian Gulf with an American push has been a trend over the past two years for the final goal of breaking decades-long Israeli isolation in the region and improving its security through security and military overlap with (Persian) Gulf Cooperation Council members for their closeness to Iran, Tel Aviv’s archenemy. 

One tactic to make false Israeli attractions in the eyes of Arab rulers to walk into normalization path is exaggeration about the Israeli defense, technology, and intelligence capabilities. Actually, the American plan rests on persuasion of the Arab monarchies that if they normalize, they can enjoy an Israeli security-defense umbrella as the US is cutting its commitments to their protection. Cyber defense, missile shield, and air capabilities are areas where the Arab rulers hope to engage in a coalition with the Israelis. 

But as the ineffectiveness of the Iron Dome against the incoming rockets in three days questioned the credibility of the Israeli technological capabilities, the loss to a small but powerful wing of the Axis of Resistance discredited the Israeli security guarantees to the Arab rulers. The Arabs should have already come to the notion that they cannot put all of their eggs in the basket of Israeli assurances.

Wreaking normalization 

One of the covert aspects behind normalization is causing a gradual shift in the majorly negative view of the Muslim and Arab public to the Israeli regime. However, the fresh Gaza war, through rejuvenating solidarity with the Palestinians who are under Israeli atrocities, destroyed outright the arrangements the pro-normalization actors have had made over the past years. This was also observable in last year's war, codenamed by Hamas Operation Sword of Al-Quds, as it turned the tide against the interests of the Israelis who were happy and expecting to pick fruits of normalization with the UAE and Bahrain. Now that images of Palestinian children and women killed in atrocious Israeli air raids circulate online and on news media, Tel Aviv is concerned about waves of Muslim outrage over its actions and is mobilizing all of its propagandistic capabilities to shift the blame to the Islamic Jihad. 

 

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Israel War Islamic Jihad Gaza Aggression Ceasefire

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