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Analysis

Saudi War on Yemen: Suicidal Proxy War

Friday 3 April 2015
Saudi War on Yemen: Suicidal Proxy War

Alwaght- In a decision that cannot be interpreted by military and strategic rules, Saudi Arabia decided to wage a war with no hope of attaining its goals; but inevitably, regional destruction is the general effect whereas suicide of the Saudi regime is a special effect. The war on Yemen that Saudi Arabia has announced and for which the Saudi regime has formed a coalition in the American style is a futile war where it is impossible for the aggressor to achieve a triumph.

Based on military rules, triumph in a war is achieved when the attacker achieves its announced goals whereas if the shielder restrained the attacker from achieving its goals a triumph is scored for the shielder. The announced goal that the Saudi Regime has set for his aggression is to restore the fugitive Yemeni President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi ability to rule. The question here will the Saudi Regime be able to achieve its goal.

It’s worth mentioning that Saudi Arabia claim “upholding legitimacy” is a false one, because the legitimacy the Saudi regime talking about has expired following the expiration of two-year limit for the presidency Hadi deadline. Moreover, the legitimacy they are talking about has resigned and the Yemeni parliament approved on that. Therefore what Saudi Arabia invoked by, does not have a site in the world of facts and law. Moreover, the Saudi behavior here in support of what it claims “legitimacy”, contradicts their endeavor to undermine the legitimacy in other states such as Syria.

Regarding achieving the claimed goal, the restore of the fugitive Yemeni President requires field control on the ground, which cannot be achieved through air strikes alone whatever was the scale of the destruction caused, and regardless of the numbers of the victims killed. Seizing control can only take place by a ground operation implemented by military ground forces, which is currently not possible due to the lack of the necessary conditions for such an operation.

In order to launch a ground invasion to Yemen, Saudi Arabia cannot mobilize more than 80 thousand land soldiers armed with all sorts of weaponry. This force is eligible to achieve the desired achievement in the current conditions where it has to face opponents with the ability to face the two modes of warfare: Conventional warfare that Yemeni army can wade, and the fourth and the most important warfare, is the 4th generation warfare which the popular committees along with Ansarullah Movement forces can engage into in order to confront the Invaders of the Yemeni territories; since the Yemeni territories has the appropriate terrain and area for their military work.

On the other hand, the aid that Saudi Arabia was depending from Arab or Islamic countries under the title “Land Forces” is not seen in the near future; especially that the Pakistani government decided to refrain from participating in the aggression against Yemen. The reason behind the Pakistani right decision was that it did not want to contribute to what might contribute to the division of Muslims; the threat that Saudi Arabia did not avoid when took the decision to invade Yemen.

After this introduction, we ask the question is Saudi Arabia this much illiterate from the strategic and military point of view to take the decision of launching an attack whose goals are very hard to achieve? Or, is there something else behind this decision…

We do not rule out the frivolity in making a decision that is not appropriate for the interests of Saudi Arabia, especially with the availability of who encourages Saudi Arabia to take such a decision in order to dump Saudi Arabia in a swamp from which it will not be able to get out only after it has been smashed. To support this idea, we could be to recent history where something like this has happened; the U.S. has encouraged Saddam Hussein to invade Iraq, and when he responded to the US lure the disaster that ravaged Iraq has begun and did not stop until this day.

Here we can say that United State is well aware that the chances of Saudi Arabia’s victory over Yemen are non-existent. The U.S. administration announced that it understood the Saudi decision in launching the attack over Yemen, but it seems that U.S. encouraged and pushed the Saudis into this swamp in order to distract it from related basic issues such as the Iranian nuclear program and the situation in Syria and Iraq.

The Zionist Regime sees the war that Saudi Arabia has launched over Yemen, as the best way to compensate for the failure to topple Syria and with it the resistance front. This is why the Israeli Regime have emphasized on the unity of interests with Saudi Arabia and the so-called “Moderate Arabs in the region”.

Some Persian Gulf Arab states perceive that in this war will Saudi Arabia will not achieve any of its goals and it will raise the level of hatred and resentment among the people of Yemen against Saudi Arabia. Moreover, they believe that this war is the way to get rid of Saudi Arabia domination and set its map after the defeat at the delimitation table.

The Saudi aggression over Yemen is not a simple thing in the history of the region, and we cannot find a parallel to it in the contemporary Arab history. On the Arab level, this war might be considered the first war between the two Arab states. While on the Islamic level, it may be seen in the modern history as first war taking openly a completely ideological title as Zionists decided in Herzliya Conference to kindle adversity between Sunnis and Shiites, Arabs and Persians and cause a never-ending war, that never ends else than with overall destruction.

The war Saudi Arabia has launched on Yemen is a war that it will not achieve its stated objectives, yet Saudi Arabia decided to launch its ridiculously funny “decisive storm”. The only interpretation for this war is that it is a proxy war Saudi Arabia is launching on behalf of its Zio-American allies; a war they cannot wage on their own. Its war service, major service Saudis would you give to the Zionist and Western colonial occupation project. A war that Saudis have launch and there is no guarantee that at the end of the war it will remain the current Saudi entity.

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